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Doherty Institute modelling by jurisdiction sizes
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Publication date:
Publication type:
Report
Audience:
General public
Language:
English
Description:
The modelling shows that:
- small jurisdictions are more likely to experience acute clinical load stress and possible overloading of surge capacity early in an outbreak compared to larger jurisdictions
- hospital capacity challenges are heightened when transition occurs at with higher initial community case numbers
- larger jurisdictions will have less likelihood of surpassing their surge capacity even at the height of local epidemic spread, but their projected ‘living with COVID’ capacity may be exceeded.