ATAGI update following weekly COVID-19 meeting – 20 October 2021

An update from the Australian Technical Advisory Group on Immunisation (ATAGI) following their weekly meeting on 20 October 2021.

Date published:
General public

On Wednesday 20 October 2021 ATAGI reviewed the latest developments relating to COVID-19 and COVID-19 vaccine safety. In addition, ATAGI continues to monitor COVID-19 epidemiology in Australia including current COVID-19 outbreaks involving the Delta variant, including in New South Wales, Australian Capital Territory and Victoria.

ATAGI stresses that vaccination is a key public health intervention to prevent infection, transmission and severe disease due to SARS-CoV-2. ATAGI recommends COVID-19 vaccination for all Australians from 12 years of age.

ATAGI notes the lower but increasing vaccine coverage in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander populations and notes strategies to address barriers to vaccination in this important population.

As at 18 October 2021, almost 33 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines have been administered in Australia. ATAGI has noted emerging national data demonstrating that only a small proportion of patients with severe COVID-19 were reported to be vaccinated, consistent with a high vaccine effectiveness against severe disease.

ATAGI has previously noted the TGA’s registration of Pfizer and Moderna for use in children from 12 years of age and supports COVID-19 vaccination in all adolescents from 12 years of age. These statements can be found in the Resources section below.

Comirnaty (Pfizer) and Spikevax (Moderna)

Myocarditis and/or Pericarditis

ATAGI continues to review and closely monitor reports of rare but potentially serious adverse events following immunisation with Pfizer, including myocarditis and/or pericarditis. These conditions can occur in the absence of vaccination and are also a recognised complication of COVID-19.

ATAGI notes that the TGA is investigating 1148 reports of suspected myocarditis and/or pericarditis following Pfizer and in particular 312 suspected myocarditis reports. Of these suspected cases, 175 cases of myocarditis or myopericarditis have been assessed as meeting the Brighton Collaboration case definition (level 1, 2, or 3), of which 100 cases occurred following the second dose.

ATAGI notes that the TGA report details the estimated rate of myocarditis following first and second doses by age and sex. The observed rates are consistent with international data showing a higher rate in younger individuals (particularly younger males) and following second doses. Most reported cases have been mild, self-limiting and have recovered quickly, although further follow-up of these cases is ongoing. ATAGI noted that a small number of cases were more severe, requiring hospitalisation.

ATAGI notes that the TGA is investigating 5 reported cases of myocarditis following Moderna vaccine, of which 2 have been assessed as meeting the Brighton Collaboration case definition (level 1, 2, or 3). ATAGI are monitoring international data on the rates of myocarditis and pericarditis.

Risks and benefits

ATAGI reaffirms that the benefits of Comirnaty (Pfizer) and Spikevax (Moderna)

outweigh the risks of myocarditis and/or pericarditis for any age group and strongly recommend eligible individuals without contraindications to be offered vaccination.

Vaxzevria (AstraZeneca)

Thrombosis and Thrombocytopenia Syndrome (TTS)

ATAGI considered an update from the Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) on current confirmed cases of TTS and those under investigation. The latest TGA statement on TTS cases, including clinical outcomes, can be found here.

ATAGI examined estimates of risk of TTS by age group in Australia and note that there have been 156 cases of confirmed or probable TTS (86 confirmed cases; 70 probable cases). To date around 12.6 million doses of AstraZeneca have been administered.

ATAGI notes that International data continues to demonstrate the risk of TTS following a second dose of AstraZeneca is much lower than the risk following a first dose (estimated internationally to be 1.9 per million second doses).  ATAGI reinforces the importance of completing a two-dose schedule to ensure maximal protection, with the strongest evidence for two doses of the same brand.

Rates of TTS cases are based on first doses of AstraZeneca as of 7 October 2021 (to account for the time to onset of TTS). To that date, approximately 12.2 million doses of AstraZeneca have been administered, made up of around 6.7 million first doses and 5.5 million second doses.

Although estimates of risk based on small numbers of cases are imprecise, the risk of TTS is estimated in Australia at around:

  • 2.5 per 100,000 in those <60 years
  • 1.8 per 100,000 in those ≥60 years.

ATAGI notes that the TGA Weekly Report includes a breakdown of current rates by decade of age and a detailed breakdown of Australia’s confirmed and probable TTS cases weekly using the CDC Criteria. ATAGI noted these data suggest that the severity of TTS appears to be higher in younger women. These differences by sex are not seen in older people.

Outcomes have generally been better with early presentation and recognition of the symptoms and appropriate treatment as outlined in the TTS primary care guide. This may contribute to the lower-case fatality ratio observed in Australia compared to those reported internationally. The overall case fatality ratio in Australia (8/151; 5.1%) is lower than that seen in other settings. ATAGI notes that the TGA is continuing to investigate 19 probable cases of TTS following second doses and that to date, six of these cases have been definitively linked to vaccination.

Immune Thrombocytopenia

ATAGI continues to review and closely monitor reports of rare but potentially serious adverse events following immunisation with AstraZeneca, including Immune Thrombocytopenia (ITP). It is important for those vaccinated to be aware of some of the symptoms that may be associated with ITP, such as easy bruising and bleeding from the nose or gums.

Guillain-Barre Syndrome

ATAGI continues to review and closely monitor reports of rare but potentially serious adverse events following immunisation with AstraZeneca, including Guillain-Barre Syndrome (GBS). It is important for those vaccinated to be aware of some of the symptoms that may be associated with GBS, such as muscle weakness, unusual sensation (numbness, pins and needles) and unsteadiness while walking. ATAGI notes this condition can occur in the absence of vaccination and that investigations into whether the reported events are causally linked to vaccination is ongoing.

Risks and benefits

ATAGI reinforces that the benefits of vaccination with AstraZeneca in preventing severe COVID-19 strongly outweigh the risks of adverse effects in all Australians ≥60 years.

From 1 October 2021, all Australians aged 12 and over, including those Australians aged 60 and over, are now eligible to receive a Pfizer or Moderna COVID-19 vaccine. This means older Australians can now choose the Pfizer, Moderna, or AstraZeneca vaccine.

Everyone can now book their Pfizer vaccine through GPs and state led vaccination hubs, and the Moderna vaccine through Pharmacies in each of the states and territories.

At this time, there is no update to the ATAGI statement from 17 June 2021 in relation to the use of AstraZeneca, except to note that further clarification has been provided in regards to its use in outbreak settings. 


ATAGI recommends review of the following key resources:

Use of AstraZeneca and/or TTS:

  • the ATAGI/THANZ joint statement which provides information about TTS and reaffirms ATAGI’s previous advice regarding the safe use of AstraZeneca;
  • the TTS primary care guide, which provides advice for providers on the consideration and management of suspected TTS cases, noting the importance of early presentation and recognition of TTS;
  • the risk-benefit document, which provides advice to help consumers make informed decisions about the risks and benefits of AstraZeneca in different age cohorts and scenarios; and
  • additional guidance on the use of COVID-19 vaccines in outbreak settings;
  • response to NSW COVID-19 outbreak; and
  • additional strategies to combat the risk posed by the Delta variant of concern.

Use of Pfizer and/or Myocarditis and/or Pericarditis:

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