Doherty Institute modelling by jurisdiction sizes
We aim to provide documents in an accessible format. If you're having problems using a document with your accessibility tools, please contact us for help.
The modelling shows that:
- small jurisdictions are more likely to experience acute clinical load stress and possible overloading of surge capacity early in an outbreak compared to larger jurisdictions
- hospital capacity challenges are heightened when transition occurs at with higher initial community case numbers
- larger jurisdictions will have less likelihood of surpassing their surge capacity even at the height of local epidemic spread, but their projected ‘living with COVID’ capacity may be exceeded.