Medical Training Review Panel: Seventeenth Report

Medical Graduates

Page last updated: 09 April 2014

Current Data

In 2012, a total of 3,284 students graduated from Australian medical schools. Of these, 2,777 or 84.6% were domestic students (Table 2.19).

Trends

Each year the number of domestic medical graduates has increased. The increase was 10.8% from 2011 to 2012 and there was an overall increase of 59.8% in domestic graduates across the last five years from 2008 to 2012 (Table 2.21).

From 2008 to 2012 the number of domestic medical graduates increased in each state and territory apart from Australian Capital Territory, which decreased by 3.3%. The greatest increases were in New South Wales and Victoria, by 81.4% and 79.9% respectively (Table 2.19).

Table 2.19: Domestic medical school graduates in Australian universities, by state/territory, 2008–2012
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Increase 2008 – 2012
Increase 2008 – 2012 (%)

(a) First students graduated from Bond in 2009, Wollongong in 2010, Deakin, Monash PG, Notre Dame Sydney and University of Western Sydney in 2011.
(b) First students will graduate from Melbourne Doctor of Medicine program in 2014.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

New South Wales
Newcastle/UNE
77
85
104
70
140
63
81.8
Notre Dame Sydney(a)
..
..
..
103
106
..
..
Sydney
208
208
221
222
237
29
13.9
UNSW
177
163
166
187
198
21
11.9
UWS(a)
..
..
..
86
91
..
..
Wollongong(a)
..
..
63
67
66
..
..
Total NSW
462
456
554
735
838
376
81.4
Victoria
Deakin(a)
..
..
..
109
123
..
..
Melbourne(b)
199
198
212
234
231
32
16.1
Monash(a)
159
165
181
219
290
131
82.4
Total Vic
358
363
393
562
644
286
79.9
Queensland
Bond(a)
..
55
74
81
69
..
..
Griffith
70
116
151
133
150
80
114.3
Queensland
238
279
332
290
307
69
29.0
James Cook
66
82
94
88
92
26
39.4
Total Qld
374
532
651
592
618
244
65.2
Western Australia
Notre Dame Fremantle
75
80
86
98
104
29
38.7
UWA
142
182
207
172
165
23
16.2
Total WA
217
262
293
270
269
52
24.0
South Australia
Adelaide
98
83
94
97
111
13
13.3
Flinders
75
74
102
109
113
38
50.7
Total SA
173
157
196
206
224
51
29.5
Tasmania
Tasmania
64
73
89
67
97
33
51.6
Australian Capital Territory
ANU
90
72
83
75
87
-3
-3.3
Total
1,738
1,915
2,259
2,507
2,777
1,039
59.8
Annual increase
177
344
248
270
Annual increase (%)
10.2
18.0
11.0
10.8

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After decreasing in 2011 for the first time since 2008, the number of international students graduating from Australian medical schools increased in 2012 by a total of 10.9%. Overall, the number of international graduates increased by 26.4% from 2008 to 2012 (Table 2.20).

Table 2.20: International medical school graduates in Australian universities by state/territory, 2008–2012
20082009201020112012Change 2008 – 2012Change 2008 – 2012 (%)

(a) First students graduated from Bond in 2009, Wollongong in 2010, Deakin, Monash PG, Notre Dame Sydney and University of Western Sydney in 2011.
(b) First students will graduate from Melbourne Doctor of Medicine program in 2014.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

New South Wales
Newcastle/UNE
18
21
21
20
29
11
61.1
Notre Dame Sydney(a)
..
..
..
0
0
..
..
Sydney
55
54
35
32
38
-17
-30.9
UNSW
39
36
55
36
46
7
17.9
UWS(a)
..
..
..
..
9
..
..
Wollongong(a)
..
..
4
10
11
..
..
Total NSW
112
111
115
98
133
21
18.8
Victoria
Deakin(a)
..
..
..
0
1
..
..
Melbourne(b)
88
97
90
89
83
-5
-5.7
Monash(a)
52
74
94
70
67
15
28.8
Total Vic
140
171
184
159
151
11
7.9
Queensland
Bond(a)
..
4
1
1
1
..
..
Griffith
0
2
0
0
..
..
..
Queensland
51
67
77
98
130
79
154.9
James Cook
0
2
3
2
3
..
..
Total Qld
51
75
81
101
134
83
162.7
Western Australia
Notre Dame Fremantle
0
0
0
0
0
..
..
UWA
10
15
25
27
21
11
110.0
Total WA
10
15
25
27
21
11
110.0
South Australia
Adelaide
48
38
40
21
24
-24
-50.0
Flinders
22
28
14
19
19
-3
-13.6
Total SA
70
66
54
40
43
-27
-38.6
Tasmania
Tasmania
14
21
11
28
16
2
14.3
Australian Capital Territory
ANU
4
6
4
4
9
5
125.0
Total
401
465
474
457
507
106
26.4

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Table 2.21 shows that just over half of all medical graduates, both domestic and international, were females (53.2% for domestic and 52.9% for international in 2012).

Table 2.21: Medical graduates: Domestic, international and proportions of females, 2008–2012
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Change 2008 – 2012 (%)
Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc
Domestic
1,738
1,915
2,259
2,507
2,777
59.8
Proportion domestic (%)
81.3
80.5
82.7
84.6
84.6
4.1
Proportion female (%)
57.2
54.1
54.1
55.0
53.2
-7.0
International
401
465
474
457
507
26.4
Proportion international (%)
18.7
19.5
17.3
15.4
15.4
-17.6
Proportion females (%)
54.6
51.6
54.2
51.6
52.9
-3.1
Total
2,139
2,380
2,733
2,964
3,284
53.5
Annual increase (%)
11.3
14.8
8.5
10.8

In 2012, 79.5% of medical graduates were Commonwealth-supported (Table 2.22)

Table 2.22: Medical graduates by type of student place: Number and proportion of places, 2012
Medical Graduates

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

Commonwealth-supported
2,612
HECS only
1,879
BMPS
633
MRBSS
100
Fee-paying
663
Domestic
156
International
507
Other
9
Total
3,284
Proportion of places (%)
Commonwealth-supported
79.5
HECS only
57.2
BMPS
19.3
MRBSS
3.0
Fee-paying
20.2
Domestic
4.8
International
15.4
Other
0.3

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Projected Numbers of Graduates

Table 2.23 shows the projected number of medical graduates up until 2018. These figures are based on current and planned enrolments as of 2013. Attrition has not been factored into these figures. Attrition rates for medical courses are anticipated to be relatively low when compared to other courses, and this may be explored further in future reports.

The number of domestic medical graduates is projected to rise from 2,970 in 2013 to 3,178 in 2018 (Table 2.23). This is an overall increase of 7.0% over the five years from 2013 to 2018.

Table 2.23: Domestic medical students expected to graduate from Australian universities: Projected numbers(a) by state/territory, 2013–2018
201320142015201620172018

UG – undergraduate
PG – postgraduate
MD – Doctor of Medicine

(a) No allowance has been made for student attrition.
(b) Program commences in 2014. First students will graduate in 2017.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

New South Wales
Newcastle/UNE
151
186
178
179
192
170
Notre Dame Sydney
108
108
115
125
120
120
Sydney
236
265
220
232
228
228
UNSW
212
232
225
187
216
214
UWS
107
112
105
107
103
102
Wollongong
72
75
76
76
75
75
Total NSW
886
978
919
906
934
909
Victoria
Deakin
144
131
132
131
130
130
Melbourne MD
0
302
289
294
295
295
Melbourne PG
77
3
4
0
0
0
Melbourne UG
166
0
6
2
0
0
Monash PG
64
68
82
75
72
72
Monash UG
237
285
263
248
263
259
Total Vic
688
789
776
750
760
756
Queensland
Bond
83
80
77
92
95
95
Griffith
153
147
149
152
154
155
Queensland
313
320
308
308
300
300
James Cook
137
143
170
171
175
203
Total Qld
686
690
704
723
724
753
Western Australia
Notre Dame Fremantle
98
96
98
111
106
106
UWA PG
58
58
60
58
0
0
UWA UG
126
134
147
130
0
0
UWA MD(b)
0
0
0
0
209
209
Total WA
282
288
305
299
315
315
South Australia
Adelaide
127
153
150
157
164
124
Flinders
111
121
143
143
136
136
Total SA
238
274
293
300
300
260
Tasmania
Tasmania
105
88
97
86
104
95
Australian Capital Territory
ANU
85
93
83
100
90
90
Total
2,970
3,200
3,177
3,164
3,227
3,178

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The projected numbers of international students to graduate from Australian universities are also expected to increase, rising by (17.7%) from 525 in 2013 to 618 in 2018 (Table 2.24).

Table 2.24: International medical students expected to graduate from Australian universities: Projected numbers(a) by state/territory, 2013–2018
201320142015201620172018

UG – undergraduate
PG – postgraduate
MD – Doctor of Medicine

(a) No allowance has been made for student attrition.
(b) Includes international medical university students.
(c) Excludes the UQ Ochsner (USA) cohort, but have been included in the table for information.
(d) Program commences in 2014. First students will graduate in 2017.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

New South Wales
Newcastle/UNE
22
38
29
26
34
32
Notre Dame Sydney
0
0
0
0
0
0
Sydney
53
58
70
78
80
80
UNSW(b)
63
54
60
63
62
59
UWS
7
23
15
23
17
20
Wollongong
8
7
9
9
12
12
Total NSW
153
180
183
199
205
203
Victoria
Deakin
5
2
6
5
12
12
Melbourne MD
0
23
36
36
40
42
Melbourne PG
14
0
0
0
0
0
Melbourne UG
73
0
1
1
0
0
Monash PG
6
15
10
7
10
10
Monash UG
58
49
53
63
58
56
Total Vic
156
89
106
112
120
120
Queensland
Bond
2
2
2
2
1
1
Griffith
0
0
0
6
8
10
Queensland(b)
126
108
132
113
120
120
UQ Ochsner (USA)
24
36
76
105
110
110
James Cook
2
23
27
17
23
34
Total Qld(c)
130
133
161
138
152
165
Western Australia
Notre Dame WA
0
0
0
0
0
0
UWA PG
0
0
0
9
0
0
UWA UG
28
31
32
22
0
0
UWA MD(c)
0
0
0
0
30
30
Total WA
28
31
32
31
30
30
South Australia
Adelaide
25
36
21
15
25
35
Flinders
11
20
20
25
30
30
Total SA
36
56
41
40
55
65
Tasmania
Tasmania(b)
14
27
23
25
25
25
Australian Capital Territory
ANU
8
9
9
8
10
10
Total(d)
525
525
555
553
597
618

Table 2.25 summaries the number of domestic and international students projected to graduate from Australian universities between 2013 and 2018.

In total, 3,796 medical students are expected to graduate in 2018 (Table 2.25), 8.6% more than predicted for 2013. This is 15.6% higher than the actual number of medical students who graduated in 2012 (3,284) and 77.5% higher than the 2,139 medical students who graduated in 2008.

Table 2.25: Medical students expected to graduate from Australian universities: Projected number of domestic and international students, 2013–2018
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Increase 2013 – 2018 (%)

(a) Excludes the UQ Ochsner (USA) cohort and Monash-Malaysia cohort.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

Domestic
2,970
3,200
3,177
3,164
3,227
3,178
7.0
International(a)
525
525
555
553
597
618
17.7
Total
3,495
3,725
3,732
3,717
3,824
3,796
8.6
Change from previous year
230
7
-15
107
-28
Change from previous year (%)
6.6
0.2
-0.4
2.9
-0.7