Medical Training Review Panel: fourteenth report

Medical Graduates

Page last updated: 11 March 2011

Current Data

In 2009, 2,380 students in total graduated from Australian medical schools. Eighty percent or 1,915 were domestic students. In total, nine graduating students identifi ed themselves as being of Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander origin.

Trends

Each year the number of domestic medical graduates has increased. The increase was 10.2% from 2008 to 2009 and there was an overall increase of 45.1% across the last fi ve years from 2005 to 2009 (Table 2.17).

Table 2.17: Domestic medical graduates from Australian universities, 2005-2009

20052006200720082009
Adelaide
85
92
85
98
83
ANU(a)
..
..
71
90
72
Bond(a)
..
..
..
..
55
Flinders
62
66
77
75
74
Griffith(a)
..
..
..
70
116
James Cook
58
74
65
66
82
Melbourne
178
211
186
199
198
Monash
143
123
137
159
165
Newcastle
59
61
67
77
85
Notre Dame Fremantle(a)
..
..
..
75
80
Queensland
218
215
284
238
279
Sydney
176
147
202
208
208
Tasmania
46
62
58
64
73
UNSW
188
166
186
177
163
UWA
107
118
126
142
182
Total(b)
1,320
1,335
1,544
1,738
1,915

(a) First students graduated from ANU in 2007, Notre Dame (Fremantle) and Griffith in 2008, and Bond in 2009.
(b) First students will graduate from Wollongong in 2010 and from Deakin, Notre Dame (Sydney) and University of Western Sydney (UWS) in 2011.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

From 2005 to 2009 the increase in the number of domestic medical graduates was greatest in Western Australia and Queensland increasing by 144.9% and 92.8% respectively (Table 2.18). In Tasmania domestic medical students also increased markedly by 58.7%. The other states showed relatively small increases over the fi ve year period.

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Table 2.18: Domestic medical school graduates in Australian universities by state/territory, 2005-2009

20052006200720082009
New South Wales
Newcastle
59
61
67
77
85
Sydney
176
147
202
208
208
UNSW
188
166
186
177
163
Total NSW
423
374
455
462
456
Victoria
Monash
143
123
137
159
165
Melbourne
178
211
186
199
198
Total Vic
321
334
323
358
363
Queensland
Bond(a)
..
..
..
..
55
Griffith(a)
..
..
..
70
116
Queensland
218
215
284
238
279
James Cook
58
74
65
66
82
Total Qld
276
289
349
374
532
Western Australia
Notre Dame Fremantle(a)
..
..
..
75
80
UWA
107
118
126
142
182
Total WA
107
118
126
217
262
South Australia
Adelaide
85
92
85
98
83
Flinders
62
66
77
75
74
Total SA
147
158
173
173
157
Tasmania
Tasmania
46
62
58
64
73
Australian Capital Territory
ANU(a)
..
..
71
90
72
Total(b)
1,320
1,335
1,544
1,738
1,915

(a) First students graduated from ANU in 2007, Notre Dame (Fremantle) and Griffith in 2008, and Bond in 2009.
(b) First students will graduate from Wollongong in 2010 and from Deakin, Notre Dame (Sydney) and University of Western Sydney (UWS) in 2011.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

From 2005 to 2009, the number of international students that graduated from Australian medical schools has increased by 72.7% (Table 2.19).

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Table 2.19: International medical students graduating from Australian universities, 2005-2009

20052006200720082009
Adelaide
29
36
41
48
38
ANU(a)
..
..
1
4
6
Bond(a)
..
..
..
..
4
Flinders
28
26
27
22
28
Griffith(a)
..
..
..
0
2
James Cook
..
1
1
0
2
Melbourne
83
74
85
88
97
Monash
28
52
39
52
47
Newcastle
14
16
15
18
21
Notre Dame Fremantle(a)
..
..
..
0
8
Queenland
8
9
20
51
67
Sydney
42
33
47
55
54
Tasmania
10
12
13
14
21
UNSW
23
32
23
39
36
UWA
2
7
4
10
15
Total(b)
267
298
316
401
465

(a) First students graduated from ANU in 2007, Notre Dame (Fremantle) and Griffith in 2008, and Bond in 2009.
(b) First students will graduate from Wollongong in 2010 and from Deakin, Notre Dame (Sydney) and University of Western Sydney (UWS) in 2011.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

The number of international medical students graduating from Australian universities increased markedly in all states and territories from 2005 to 2009 (Table 2.20). The increase in numbers was highest in Queensland (67), followed by Victoria (60).

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Table 2.20: International medical school graduates in Australian universities by state/territory, 2005-2009

20052006200720082009
New South Wales
Newcastle
14
16
15
18
21
Sydney
42
33
47
55
54
UNSW
23
32
23
39
36
Total NSW
79
81
85
112
111
Victoria
Monash
28
52
39
52
74
Melbourne
83
74
85
88
97
Total Vic
111
126
124
140
171
Queensland
Bond(a)
..
..
..
..
4
Griffith(a)
..
..
..
0
2
Queensland
8
9
20
51
67
James Cook
0
1
1
0
2
Total Qld
8
10
21
51
75
Western Australia
Notre Dame WA(a)
..
..
..
0
0
UWA
2
7
4
10
15
Total WA
2
7
4
10
15
South Australia
Adelaide
29
36
41
48
38
Flinders
28
26
27
22
28
Total SA
57
62
68
70
66
Tasmania
Tasmania
10
12
13
14
21
Australian Capital Territory
ANU(a)
..
..
1
4
6
Total(b)
267
298
316
401
465

(a) First students graduated from ANU in 2007, Notre Dame (Fremantle) and Griffi th in 2008, and Bond in 2009.
(b) First students will graduate from Wollongong in 2010 and from Deakin, Notre Dame Sydney campus and University of Western Sydney (UWS) in 2011.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

The proportion of female medical graduates was first collected in 2007. Table 2.21 shows that each year data has been reported just over half of all medical graduates, both domestic and international, were female (54.1% for domestic and 51.6% for international in 2009). The proportion of females graduating is slightly more than that in the intake of medical students in recent years (54.8% for domestic and 47.0% for international in 2009, Table 2.14) indicating that the proportion of females students commencing medical studies remains relatively the same over the years.

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Table 2.21: Medical graduates: Domestic, international and proportions of females, 2005-2009

20052006200720082009
Domestic
1,320
1,335
1,544
1,7738
1,915
Proportion domestic (%)
83.2
81.8
83.0
81.3
80.5
Proportion female (%)
na
na
56.2
57.2
54.1
International
267
298
316
401
465
Proportion international (%)
16.8
18.2
17.0
18.7
19.5
Proportion female (%)
na
na
52.5
54.6
51.6
Total
1,587
1,633
1,860
2,139
2,380
Annual Increase (%)
209
13.9
15.0
11.3

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

Data on medical graduates for all years from 1997 to 2009 and split by domestic and international status are provided in Appendix D.

Projected Numbers of Graduates

Tables 2.22, 2.23 and 2.24 show projections of the number of medical graduates up until 2015. This data is based on current and planned enrolments as of 2010. Attrition has not been factored into these fi gures. It should be noted, however, that this would not greatly affect the overall numbers, as attrition rates from medical courses are low relative to other courses, with a mean national attrition rate of 1.4% calculated for 2008.

The number of domestic medical graduates is projected to rise from 2,264 in 2010 to 3,045 graduates in 2013 and up to 3,227 in 2015 (Table 2.22). The number of domestic students graduating is projected to increase by 42.5% overall from 2010 to 2015.

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Table 2.22: Domestic medical students to graduate from Australian universities: Projected numbers(a), 2010 - 2015

201020112012201320142015
Adelaide
97
98
125
145
155
185
ANU
85
78
86
95
95
90
Bond
73
84
80
83
80
88
Deakin
0
112
132
128
128
130
Flinders
106
114
125
120
132
125
Griffith
149
142
156
150
150
155
James Cook
100
88
96
162
162
182
Melbourne PG
69
88
72
79
280
300
Melbourne UG
143
148
150
172
0
0
Monash PG
0
52
67
65
65
70
Monahs UG
182
221
228
247
240
260
Newcastle/UNE
104
80
166
172
169
170
Notre Dame Sydney
0
107
113
112
112
112
Notre Dame Fremantle
90
106
109
104
104
104
UNSW
162
200
206
209
210
225
Queensland
328
300
306
305
305
318
Sydney
228
222
251
228
228
228
Tasmania
88
81
109
99
100
100
UWA PG
33
60
58
64
65
65
UWA UG
159
126
105
115
145
146
UWS
0
90
98
118
110
100
Wollongong
68
70
74
73
73
74
Total
2,264
2,667
2,912
3,045
3,108
3,227

(a) No allowance has been made for student attrition.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

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Table 2.23: Domestic medical graduates expected to graduate from Australian universities: Projected number(a) by state/territory, 2010-2015

201020112012201320142015
New South Wales
Newcastle/UNE
104
80
166
172
169
170
Notre Dame Sydney
0
107
113
112
112
112
Sydney
228
222
251
228
228
228
UNSW
162
200
206
209
210
225
UWS
0
90
98
118
110
100
Wollongong
68
70
74
73
73
74
Total NSW
562
769
908
912
902
909
Victoria
Deakin
0
112
132
128
128
130
Monash PG
0
52
67
65
65
70
Monash UG
182
221
228
247
240
260
Melbourne PG
69
88
72
79
280
300
Melbourne UG
143
148
150
172
0
0
Total Vic
394
621
649
691
713
760
Queensland
Bond
73
84
80
83
80
88
Griffith
149
142
156
150
150
155
Queensland
328
300
306
305
305
318
James Cook
100
88
96
162
162
182
Total Qld
650
614
638
700
697
743
Western Australia
Notre Dame Fremantle
90
106
109
104
104
104
UWA PG
33
60
58
64
65
65
UWA UG
159
126
105
115
145
146
Total WA
282
292
272
283
314
315
South Australia
Adelaide
97
98
125
145
155
185
Flinders
106
114
125
120
132
125
Total SA
203
212
250
265
287
310
Tasmania
Tasmania
88
81
109
99
100
100
Australian Capital Territory
ANU
85
78
86
95
95
90
Total
2,264
2,667
2,912
3,045
3,108
3,227

(a) No allowance has been made for student attrition.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

The projected numbers of international students that are to graduate from Australian universities fluctuate considerably over the coming years (Table 2.24). These vary from a low of 468 in 2011 up to highs of 678 in both 2013 and 2014. The number is then projected to decrease again in 2015.

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Table 2.24: International medical students to graduate from Australian universities: Projected numbers(a), 2010-2015

201020112012201320142015
Adelaide
41
24
20
21
24
16
ANU
6
4
12
11
11
10
Bond
2
0
4
9
4
0
Deakin
0
0
2
8
15
12
Flinders
14
18
19
19
20
19
Griffith
0
0
0
5
5
0
James Cook
3
3
4
4
18
27
Melbourne PG
18
19
5
6
50
30
Melbourne UG
77
73
74
76
0
0
Monash PG
0
5
6
15
15
10
Monash UG
97
74
66
54
60
40
Newcastle/UNE
25
26
24
34
30
24
Notre Dame Sydney
..
..
..
..
..
0
Notre Dame Fremantle
..
..
..
..
..
0
UNSW
56
40
52
60
67
50
Queensland
83
84
123
210
210
165
Sydney
36
39
48
60
60
80
Tasmania
20
22
18
25
24
25
UWA PG
0
0
0
0
2
0
UWA UG
28
26
19
29
26
27
UWS
0
0
10
21
26
20
Wollongong
6
11
12
11
11
12
Total
512
468
518
678
678
567

(a) No allowance has been made for student attrition.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

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Table 2.25: International medical graduates expected to graduate from Australian universities: Projected numbers(a) by state/territory, 2010-2015

201020112012201320142015
New South Wales
Newcastle/UNE
25
26
24
34
30
24
Notre Dame Sydney
..
..
..
..
..
0
Sydney
36
39
48
60
60
80
UNSW
56
40
52
60
67
50
UWS
0
0
10
21
26
20
Wollongong
6
11
12
11
11
12
Total NSW
123
116
146
186
194
186
Victoria
Deakin
0
0
2
9
15
12
Monash PG
0
5
6
15
15
10
Monash UG
97
74
66
54
60
40
Melbourne PG
18
19
5
6
50
30
Melbourne UG
77
73
74
76
0
0
Total Vic
192
171
153
159
140
92
Queensland
Bond
2
0
4
9
4
0
Griffith
0
0
0
5
5
0
Queensland
83
84
123
210
210
165
James Cook
3
3
4
4
18
27
Total Qld
88
87
131
228
237
192
Western Australia
Notre Dame Fremantle
..
..
..
..
..
0
UWA PG
0
0
0
0
2
0
UWA UG
28
26
19
29
26
27
Total WA
28
26
19
29
28
27
South Australia
Adelaide
41
24
20
21
24
16
Flinders
14
18
19
19
20
19
Total SA
55
42
39
40
44
35
Tasmania
Tasmania
20
22
18
25
24
25
Australian Capital Territory
ANU
6
4
12
11
11
10
Total
512
468
518
678
678
567

(a) No allowance has been made for student attrition.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc.

In total, some 3,786 medical students are expected to be graduating in 2014 (Table 2.26), once third more than is predicted for 2010. This is 58.3% higher than the number graduating in 2009 (2,380) and some 77.0% higher than the number who graduated in 2008 (2,139).

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Table 2.26: Medical students to graduate from Australian universities: Projected numbers of domestic and international students, 2010-2015

201020112012201320142015
Domestic
2,264
2,667
2,912
3,045
3,108
3,227
International
512
468
518
678
678
567
Total
2,776
3,135
3,430
3,723
3,786
3,794
Increase from previous year (%)
12.9
9.4
8.5
1.7
0.2

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

It should be noted, however, that while the number of medical students graduating is increasing significantly each year, the rate of growth overall is projected to ease somewhat in future years.