Australian influenza report 2011 - 19 March to 1 April 2011 (#1/11)

The Australian Influenza Report is compiled from a number of data sources, including laboratory-confirmed notifications to NNDSS, sentinel influenza-like illness reporting from general practitioners and emergency departments, workplace absenteeism, and laboratory testing. A more in-depth annual report is also published in Communicable Diseases Intelligence.

Page last updated: 14 April 2011

Report No. 1
Week ending 1 April 2011

A print friendly version of this report is available as a PDF (149 KB)

The Department of Health and Ageing acknowledges the providers of the many sources of data used in this report and greatly appreciates their contribution.

Key Indicators

Influenza activity and severity in the community is monitored using the following indicators and surveillance systems:
Is the situation changing?Indicated by trends in:
  • laboratory confirmed cases reported to the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System;
  • GP Sentinel influenza-like illness (ILI) Surveillance;
  • emergency department (ED) presentations for ILI;
  • ILI-related absenteeism and call centre calls: and
  • sentinel laboratory test results.
How severe is the disease, and is severity changing?Indicated by trends in:
  • hospitalisations, ICU admissions and deaths from sentinel systems; and
  • clinical severity in hospitalised cases and ICU admissions.
Is the virus changing?Indicated by trends in:
  • drug resistance; and
  • genetic drift or shift from laboratory surveillance.

Summary

    • Levels of influenza-like illness (ILI) in the community remained low through all surveillance systems this reporting period. However, the number of laboratory confirmed notifications that have occurred during the 2010-11 inter-seasonal period has been unusually high.
    • During this reporting period there were 319 laboratory confirmed notifications of influenza, which included 210 cases of influenza A untyped and 54 cases of pandemic (H1N1) 2009. Queensland reported the highest number of notifications.
    • All jurisdictions are reporting unusually high numbers of notifications for this time of the year, especially in the Northern Territory and Queensland. Based on sub-typing information, Queensland are reporting circulation of mostly pandemic (H1N1) 2009 and type A/H3N2. The majority of the Northern Territory cases have been type A/H3N2.
    • As at 1 April 2011, there have been 2,532 confirmed cases of influenza reported to the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) in 2011, compared with 451 for the same period in 2010.
    • The WHO has reported that influenza activity appears to have peaked and is declining in most parts of the Northern Hemisphere.
Top of Page

1. Influenza activity in Australia

Influenza-like Illness

Sentinel General Practice Surveillance
In the week ending 20 March 2011, the national ILI consultation rate to sentinel GPs was 4.7 cases per 1,000 consultations, which is consistent with the previous week (Figure 1). The overall trend in ILI rates for 2011 are similar to those reported in 2008 to 2010.

Figure 1. Weekly rate of ILI reported from GP ILI surveillance systems from 1 January 2008 to 20 March 2011*



* Delays in the reporting of data may cause data to change retrospectively. As data from the VIDRL surveillance system is combined with ASPREN data for 2010, rates may not be directly comparable across 2007, 2008 and 2009.


SOURCE: ASPREN and VIDRL GP surveillance system.


Top of Page
Of the ASPREN ILI specimens collected in the fortnight ending 25 March 2011, 5 specimens (14%) were positive for influenza A, with 4 of those being positive for pandemic (H1N1) 2009. Eighteen specimens were positive for other respiratory viruses, with the majority of those being rhinovirus (11) (Table 1). Please note the results of ASPREN ILI laboratory respiratory viral tests do not currently include WA.

Table 1. ASPREN ILI consultations laboratory respiratory viral tests that were positive for influenza or other respiratory virus, 1 January 2011 to 25 March 2011

ASPREN
(Fortnight 11 - 25 March)
ASPREN
(YTD 1 Jan – 25 March 2011)
Total specimens tested
35
101
Total Influenza Positive
5
18
Influenza A
5
17
Pandemic (H1N1) 2009
4
12
Seasonal A/H3N2
0
0
Influenza A untyped
1
5
Influenza B
0
1
Total Positive other Resp. Viruses*
18
42

* Other respiratory viruses include RSV, para-influenza, adenovirus and rhinovirus.



WA Emergency Departments
The number of respiratory viral presentations reported in WA EDs have been slightly higher than in previous years, however the current trend appears to be consistent with previous years (Figure 2). In the fortnight ending 27 March 2011 there were 645 respiratory viral presentations, including 43 admissions.

Figure 2. Number of respiratory viral presentations to WA EDs from 1 January 2008 to 27 March 2011, by week

Number of respiratory viral presentations to WA EDs from 1 January 2008 to 27 March 2011, by week

Source: WA ‘Virus Watch’ Report


Top of Page
NSW Emergency Departments
In March 2011 there were 124 ILI presentations to NSW EDs (a rate of 0.7 per 1,000 presentations). This is slightly more than the 76 presentations seen in February 2011, and is similar to March totals in previous years.1

Laboratory Confirmed Cases Notified to Health Departments

During this reporting period there were 319 influenza notifications reported to the NNDSS (186 in Qld, 36 in NSW, 31 in Vic, 29 in the NT, 17 in WA and SA, 2 in the ACT and 1 in Tas). They included 210 cases of influenza A (untyped), 54 cases of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, 15 cases of influenza A/H3N2, 37 of influenza B and 3 of influenza untyped (Figure 3).

There have been 2,532 confirmed cases of influenza of all types diagnosed during 2011 up to 1 April (Figure 3). Of these, 1,310 (52%) have been sub-typed as influenza A (untyped), 566(22%) as pandemic (H1N1) 2009, 322 (13%) as type A/H3N2, and 14 (1%) were type A&B. A further 291 (11%) have been characterised as influenza type B and 29 (1%) were untyped.

Figure 3. Laboratory confirmed cases of influenza in Australia, 1 January 2005 to 1 April 2011

Laboratory confirmed cases of influenza in Australia, 1 January 2005 to 1 April 2011

Source: NNDSS 2011


Top of Page
As at 1 April 2011, the number of laboratory confirmed cases of influenza was 1,228 in Qld, 328 in Vic, 308 in NSW, 305 in NT, 172 in WA, 166 cases in SA, 16 cases in the ACT and 9 cases in Tas (Figure 4). All jurisdictions are reporting unusually high numbers of notifications for this time of the year, especially in the Northern Territory and Queensland. Based on sub-typing information, Queensland are reporting circulation of mostly pandemic (H1N1) 2009 and type A/H3N2. The majority of the Northern Territory cases have been type A/H3N2. For a breakdown of trends by state and territory, see Figure 5.

Figure 4. Laboratory confirmed cases of influenza in Australia, 1 January to 1 April 2011, by state, by week

Laboratory confirmed cases of influenza in Australia, 1 January to 1 April 2011, by state, by week
Top of Page

Figure 5. State breakdowns of laboratory confirmed cases on influenza, 1 January to 1 April 2011, by week

State breakdowns of laboratory confirmed cases on influenza, 1 January to 1 April 2011, by week, Australian Capital Territory
Top of Page
State breakdowns of laboratory confirmed cases on influenza, 1 January to 1 April 2011, by week, new south wales
Top of Page
State breakdowns of laboratory confirmed cases on influenza, 1 January to 1 April 2011, by week, norther territory

Top of PageState breakdowns of laboratory confirmed cases on influenza, 1 January to 1 April 2011, by week, queensland
Top of Page
State breakdowns of laboratory confirmed cases on influenza, 1 January to 1 April 2011, by week, south australia
Top of Page
Top of Page
State breakdowns of laboratory confirmed cases on influenza, 1 January to 1 April 2011, by week, victoria
Top of PageState breakdowns of laboratory confirmed cases on influenza, 1 January to 1 April 2011, by week, western australia
Top of Page

Deaths associated with influenza and pneumonia

Nationally notified influenza deaths
In 2011, 2 influenza deaths have been notified to the NNDSS, with both cases having pandemic (H1N1) 2009.

NSW
Death registration data show that for the week ending 25 March 2011, there were 0.9 pneumonia or influenza associated deaths per 100,000 deaths in NSW, which is below the seasonal threshold for this period of 1.2 per 100,000 deaths (Figure 6).

NSW death registration data cross-matched with laboratory cases of influenza show no people with laboratory confirmed influenza have died up to 25 March 2011.1

Figure 6. Rate of deaths classified as influenza and pneumonia from the NSW Registered Death Certificates, 2006 to 25 March 2011

Rate of deaths classified as influenza and pneumonia from the NSW Registered Death Certificates, 2006 to 25 March 2011

Source: NSW ‘Influenza Monthly Epidemiology Report’


Top of Page

2. Virology

Typing and antigenic characterisation - WHO Collaborating Centre for Reference & Research on Influenza (WHO CC) in Melbourne

From 1 January to 3 April 2011, there were 298 Australian influenza isolates subtyped by the WHO CC with the majority of isolates typed as pandemic (H1N1) 2009 (44%) or type A/H3N2 (39%) (Table 2).

Table 2. Typing of influenza isolates from the WHO Collaborating Centre, from 1 January 2011 to 3 April 2011

Type/Subtype
ACT
NSW
NT
Qld
SA
Tas
Vic
WA
TOTAL
Pandemic (H1N1) 200901268501135102
A(H3N2)014168013192
B003118003050
Total029817102196298

SOURCE: WHO CC


Please note: There may be up to a month delay on reporting of samples. Isolates tested by the WHO CC are not necessarily a random sample of all those in the community.



Antigenic characterisation has shown influenza isolates to be a close match with the composition of the 2011 southern hemisphere influenza vaccine with some drift being observed in the pandemic (H1N1) 2009 and type B strains of the vaccine.
Top of Page

Antiviral Resistance

The WHO Collaborating Centre in Melbourne has reported that from 1 January 2011 to 3 April 2011, one isolate (out of 547 tested) has shown resistance to oseltamivir or zanamivir by enzyme inhibition assay (EIA) and no isolates (out of 547 tested) have shown the H275Y mutation known to confer resistance to oseltamivir.

3. International Influenza Surveillance

The WHO has reported that influenza activity appears to have peaked and is declining in most parts of the Northern Hemisphere. The US is currently seeing pneumonia and influenza mortality levels above the epidemic threshold, with many states reporting widespread activity. Reports from National Influenza Centres from 71 countries report 70% of specimens reported as influenza positive were influenza type A and 30% were influenza type B. Of the sub-typed influenza A viruses, 77% were influenza A(H1N1) 2009 and 23% were influenza A(H3N2).2

4. Data considerations

The information in this report is reliant on the surveillance sources available to the Department of Health and Ageing. As access to sources increase as the season progresses, this report will be updated with the additional information.

This report aims to increase awareness of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 and seasonal influenza in Australia by providing an analysis of the various surveillance data sources throughout Australia. While every care has been taken in preparing this report, the Commonwealth does not accept liability for any injury or loss or damage arising from the use of, or reliance upon, the content of the report. Delays in the reporting of data may cause data to change retrospectively. For further details about information contained in this report please contact the Influenza Team through flu@health.gov.au

Sentinel General Practice Surveillance

The Australian Sentinel Practices Research Network (ASPREN) has Sentinel GPs who report ILI presentation rates in NSW, NT, SA, ACT, VIC, QLD, TAS and WA. As jurisdictions joined ASPREN at different times and the number of GPs reporting has changed over time, the representativeness of ASPREN data in 2011 may be different from that of previous years. ASPREN data and VIDRL influenza surveillance data are sent to the Surveillance Branch on a weekly basis. Further information on Sentinel GPs’ Influenza Surveillance and ASPREN activities are available at www.dmac.adelaide.edu.au/aspren.

Sentinel ED data

WA - ED surveillance data are extracted from the ‘Virus Watch’ Report. This report is provided weekly. The Western Australia Influenza Surveillance Program collects data from eight Perth EDs.

NSW - ED surveillance data are extracted from the ‘Weekly Influenza Report, NSW’. The New South Wales Influenza Surveillance Program collects data from 56 EDs across New South Wales.

National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS)

Laboratory confirmed influenza (all types) is notifiable in all jurisdictions in Australia. Confirmed cases of influenza are notified through NNDSS by all jurisdictions.

Analyses of Australian cases are based on the diagnosis date, which is the earliest of the onset date, specimen date or notification date.

WHO Collaborating Centre for Reference & Research on Influenza (WHO CC)

Data are provided weekly to the Communicable Disease and Surveillance Branch from the WHO CC.

Deaths associated with influenza and pneumonia

Nationally reported influenza associated deaths are notified by jurisdictions to the NNDSS which is maintained by the Department of Health and Ageing. However these are an underestimation of the true number of deaths occurring in the community associated with influenza.

NSW influenza and pneumonia deaths data are collected from the NSW Registry of Births, Deaths and Marriages. Figure 6 is extracted from the ‘Weekly Influenza Report, NSW’

5. References

1. NSW Influenza Monthly Epidemiology Report, March 2011. Available from http://www.health.nsw.gov.au/resources/publichealth/infectious/influenza/pdf/20110311_monthly_report.pdf, Accessed 8 April 2011.
2. WHO Influenza update – 25 March 2011. Available from http://www.who.int/csr/disease/influenza/latest_update_GIP_surveillance/en/index.html. Accessed 4 April 2011